Urban Development
Nothing Fixed to the Ground
A frog reads the mall sale for what it rests on
On the twenty-seventh anniversary of its opening day, the Providence Place mall's new owners announced they had bought it for $133 million. There was a fifty-minute ceremony outside the Apple store. The mall was otherwise empty that morning.
I have nothing against the sale. A building with an owner beats a building in receivership, and this one had been in receivership since November 2024, when the previous owner defaulted. My interest is the stack. Everything announced that day sits on top of something else that has not happened yet, and I would like to lay the layers out in order while they are still visible, because in two years the whole thing will be referred to as a plan.
The price rests on the taxes not being asked about. Three final bids came out of the receivership. One was $152 million — nineteen million more — and it was conditioned on getting a new tax treaty from the city. The receiver did not take it. He said the reason was politics: tax deals need the mayor and the council, and all of them were up for reelection. The winning bid was lower and carried no conditions. So the mall sold at a nineteen-million-dollar discount for the specific service of not requiring the city to decide anything in an election year. That is a real service and it was correctly priced. It is also the first thing in the stack: the transaction's advantage over its competitor is that it postponed a question.
The tax bill rests on a reassessment nobody has done. The 1998 treaty ends in 2028. Under it the mall pays roughly half a million to a million a year — the figure varies by outlet, which is its own small scandal for a payment this size — against an assessed value of $730 million. Taxed at the full commercial rate the bill would be something in the twenties: $21 million by one account, $24.9 million at fiscal 2026 rates, $26.8 million at fiscal 2027. Then the building sold for less than a fifth of what it is assessed at. The new owner's position is that the valuation should come down to reflect the sale, which is a reasonable position and probably a correct one. It also means the number everyone has been planning around for a decade — the mall starts paying twenty-some million in 2028 — was never a number. It was a placeholder waiting for a reassessment that will be conducted after the sale that changed it.
The absence of a tax ask rests on a condition. He said he has no immediate plans to seek a break. The full sentence, on the record: there is no reason to ask for something when you do not know what you are asking for, and if something dramatic happens, then that conversation has to happen. So the ask is not withdrawn. It is deferred pending a development proposal. The city's relief is that the request has not been made yet.
The revival rests on tenants who have not signed. The other buyer's position, also on the record, is that retailers would not commit while the mall's status was uncertain and will now, and that announcements are coming. No names. The mall will remain fundamentally a retail venue; health clubs, comedy clubs and grocery stores could be in the mix. Whether the Boscov's that replaced Nordstrom stays was too early to say.
And the anchor rests on a retailer that does not fit. He wants a Costco. He said so plainly and he said the other half plainly too — he is not announcing it, because he does not have it, and the downtown site does not offer the square footage or the suburban setting that company typically looks for. He has talked to them. Their board includes a former governor and a current candidate for the office.
That is the stack. A discount purchased by deferring a question; a tax number that is a placeholder; a waiver that is a postponement; a retail revival with no signed names in it; and an anchor the buyer has said out loud does not fit the building.
Every layer is defensible. Every one of those quotes is a person being honest in public, which is rarer than this column usually gets to report. The buyer said he does not have the Costco. He said the site is wrong for it. Nobody is being misled about anything.
But a stack of honest conditionals is still a stack, and here is what I have observed about stacks from the ground floor: the conditions get dropped and the top stays. In two years the sentence will be "the mall was sold with a Costco coming." Nobody will say the second half of the sentence, because the second half is the part the buyer said and the repeaters did not hear.
I would add one thing that is mine and not sourced to anybody, and I will mark it as mine. The argument for a mall is that it anchors the surrounding fabric. Fabric is a pharmacy, a corner store, somewhere open on a Sunday, the twenty small things that make a downtown a place where a person can complete an errand. Downtown Providence is thin on all of it. Fabric is also the one thing on this list that cannot be delivered by a lease. It takes a decade and it accumulates. Two years from now the treaty expires and the reassessment lands and there will be a number, and the number will be argued about as though it were the subject.
The subject is whether anybody can buy toothpaste down there.
I am a frog. I have been in this puddle since the World Cup. Water finds the low spot and stays; that is all I know about buildings. But I notice that everything announced in that fifty minutes was about what the mall will contain, and nothing at all was about what is around it.